3 Million is probably
the lowest reasonable estimate for total Tuareg populations as of 2013.
Exact figures for Tuareg populations are not available. The national census takers in countries where
Tuaregs live do not classify population by ethnicity. Therefore, all figures for Tuareg
populations are based on estimates.
Estimates range from a few hundred thousand to seven million – depending
on what countries and social classes of Tuaregs are included. Many Tuaregs feel that the population
estimates are usually much too low, and anthropologists generally agree that
the estimates are too low.
The Tuareg population has been in flux geographically for
decades, following droughts, conflicts, and political difficulties. Thousands upon thousands of Tuaregs
have died during major droughts, after the governments denied nomads food
relief. Thousands more have died
during conflicts.
Tuaregs live largely in Niger, Mali, Algeria, Libya, and
Burkina Faso - but also in Chad, Mauretania, Morocco, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan,
Tunisia, and other West African and North African countries, as well as Europe,
the U.S., Canada, and many other countries.
The three major
anthropologists who have written extensive ethnographies of the Tuareg
people are Johannes Nicolaisen, Jeremy Keenan, and Edmond Bernus. They all acknowledge that it is
difficult to estimate the total number of Tuaregs. The estimates below go back decades – and populations have
tripled or quadrupled since the 1960s.
Johannes Nicolaisen, Anthropologist
(1963)
300,000 “free Tuareg” estimated in 1963
Nicolaisen, Johannes.
1963. Ecology and Culture of the Pastoral Tuareg. Copenhagen: National Museum.
Edmond Bernus, Anthropologist
(1981)
“Being nomads, they are difficult to count, and census
figures given for them are often underestimated (Bernus 1981:55).”
[Note: Bernus does
not speculate on total]
Bernus, Edmond.
1981. Touaregs Nigeriens: Unite
culturelle et diversite regionale d'un peuple pasteur. Paris: ORSTOM.
Jeremy Keenan, Anthropologist
(2004)
Estimates range from 300,000 – 3 Million. “[The] difference is largely
accounted for by definitional confusion of ‘who is a Tuareg’: many former slaves and other formerly
subordinate peoples, who still speak the Tuareg language … are often counted as
Tuareg.” (p. 1)
Niger Tuaregs = 1 million probably (p. 1-2)
Mali Tuaregs = 675,000 probably (p. 1-2)
Algeria Tuaregs = 25,000-30,000 probably, based on language
surveys (p. 2)
“These … figures … are further complicated by the facts that
many Tuareg, especially in Mali and Niger, have been displaced from their
former homelands following the pressures of droughts and civil wars in the
1980s and 1990s, and … [migration] in search of employment.” (p. 2)
Source: Keenan, Jeremy, 2004. Introduction:
Indigenous Rights and a Future Politic amongst Algeria’s Tuareg after
Forty Years of Independence. IN: The
Lesser Gods of the Sahara.
London: Frank Cass. pp. 1-3
Tuaregs
“The Tuareg
themselves claim to be more than three million.”
[Note: Most Tuaregs include any native speaker
of Temasheq, no matter what nationality or social class.]
3 Million is probably
the lowest reasonable estimate for total Tuareg populations as of 2013.
U.S. Embassy cable,
Bamako:
“Tuaregs likely
account for more than 50 percent of northern Malians, and Songhrai around 35
percent.”
U.S. Embassy cable, Bamako.
April 17, 2008
Examples of estimates
from non-anthropology sources:
1 Million plus
“The total Tuareg population is well over 1 million
individuals.”
Niger = around 500,000
Mali = 450,000
[Does not include other countries; does not give dates or
sources for figures.]
Keith Brown, Sarah Ogilvie, Concise encyclopedia of languages of the world, Elsevier, 2008, p.
152
1.5 to 3 Million
“Although their
population of 1.5 million to 3 million spans five countries — Libya, Algeria,
Niger, Mali and Burkina Faso — the Tuareg are barely represented in any of
those countries' capitals.” Oct.
11, 2011
[Note: Many Tuaregs in these countries would
be agro-pastoralists or nomads living in rural areas.]
2 Million plus
Mali - “Tuareg and Maure 625,000 (5%)” (2007)
Niger - “The greatest number of
Tuareg,
around one million, live in Niger, mostly south and west of Air Massif, with
smaller populations in Algeria, Mali and Libya.” (July 2008)
[Note: these
numbers exclude all the other Tuaregs in other countries]
3 Million plus
“The Tuareg population in the central Sahara region, which
currently numbers more than 3 million people.”
http://eur-lex.europa.eu/Notice.do?mode=dbl&lang=en&ihmlang=en&lng1=en,en&lng2=da,de,el,en,es,fi,fr,it,nl,pt,sv,&val=329227:cs
3 Million plus
“The Tuareg
themselves claim to be more than three million. Yet their number has variously
been estimated at some 1.5 to 2 million, with the majority of some 750,000
living in Niger, and 550,000 in Mali. In Algeria they are estimated at 40,000,
excluding some 100,000 refugees from Mali and Niger, and the same number is
officially admitted to live in Burkina Faso. Proper figures are not established
in Libya and other West African francophone countries.”
4-5 Million
These numbers are all estimates, and may exclude Tuareg who
are assimilated into the general population of these countries.
Niger: 1.4 million
Mali: 1.5 million
Algeria: 590,000
Burkina Faso: 160,000
Libya: 190,000
Chad: 110.000
[Total:
3,950,000]
Almost 5 Million
[plus other countries]
Niger = 1,720,000 (1998)
Mali = 1,440,000 (1991)
Algeria = 1,025,000 (1987)
Burkina Faso = 600,000 (1991)
[Total: 4,785,000]
[Does not mention Libya, Mauretania, Chad, Nigeria, or other
countries]
[Note: These
dates are really old; population has increased since the 80s and 90s]
[Princeton links the countries to Wikipedia, but I couldn’t
find these numbers on Wikipedia, so don’t know where Princeton got these
numbers]
5 Million
“Today the Tuareg population numbers roughly 5
million centered around the countries that ring the Sahara Desert, mainly
Algeria, Libya, Mali and Niger.”
[No further information or source is provided.]
5.2 Million
“In 1995, the governments of Niger and Mali negotiated a peace deal with Tuareg rebel groups
that ended a six-year rebellion. The deal offered financial incentives and the
broader integration of Tuaregs into positions of importance in the governments
and militaries of both countries, where
two-thirds of the Tuareg population lives, about 3.5 million people.”
[Note: This is
only for Niger and Mali; other countries are excluded. If 2/3 of the Tuareg population = 3.5
Million, then the total Tuareg population would be 5,250,000]
6 Million
April 30, 2012
“The Tuaregs, a Berber people now numbering some some six million, inhabit the northern
Sahara regions of Mail, as well as northern Niger and southern Algeria.”
Homeland Security Newswire:
[2 Million in Mali alone] “Northern Tuareg secessionists in Mali, who have already
seized two-thirds of that country — an area larger than France, but with a
mostly-nomad Tuareg population of only two million”
Homeland Security Newswire:
7 Million
Somebody editing the Wikipedia article on Tuareg people
claims they saw a figure of 7 Million, but did not provide a source.
“I also read that the total range of the Tuareg population
is estimated at around 7 million (throughout Africa's Sahara/Sahel region).
I'll try to find that link on the population figure.”
CIA World Factbook:
[Note: The
national census does not specify ethnicity – these are estimates.]
Niger = Tuareg = 9.3%
Mali – “Tuareg and Moor” are 10%, but Tamacheq language is
only 3.5%
Libya – Lumps Berbers and Arabs together (97%), but does
list Tamasheq as a language.
Algeria, Burkina Faso, Chad, Mauretania, Nigeria, Tunisia, and
Sudan (Darfur) - Do not list Tuaregs as a separate ethnic group.
There are also some Tuaregs in all the other West African
and North African countries.
There are also some Tuaregs in Europe, the U.S., Canada, and
other world areas.